U.K. Voters Deliver Stunning Setback to Theresa May’s Conservatives

The Wall Street Journal The Wall Street Journal

Lack of clear winner in Thursday’s election raises big questions about Brexit and prime minister’s future


U.K. Election: Conservatives Fall Short of Majority

LONDON—British voters delivered a stinging rebuke to Prime Minister Theresa May and her ruling Conservative party, depriving her of a majority in Parliament and thrusting the country back into a new period of uncertainty as it prepares to depart from the European Union.

Mrs. May called the election in April, betting she could substantially increase her party’s 17-seat majority and strengthen her hand as she negotiated an EU exit. As polls closed, that gambit immediately appeared to backfire, and as tallying went on, her party lost rather than gained seats.

By early morning, it was clear there would be a so-called hung Parliament, in which no party has command. The surprising blow immediately put Mrs. May’s leadership of her party and of the government in question.

Politicians and the public are casting their votes in an election that will likely determine the U.K.’s strategy for exiting the European Union.

Liberal Democrat leader Tim Farron is pictured at a polling station in Kendal, England. OLI SCARFF/AGENCE FRANCE-PRESSE/GETTY IMAGES
City of London armed police officers leave the St …
Sophie Allison leaves the stables at the private residence Three Oaks in Bramshill, Hampshire, which is being used a polling station in the hotly contested election that will likely determine the country’s strategy for exiting the European Union. ANDREW MATTHEWS/PRESS ASSOCIATION/ZUMA PRESS
Alliance candidate for West Belfast Sorcha Eastwood casts her vote with her husband, Dale Shirlow, in Lisburn, Northern Ireland, still wearing her wedding dress after they were married earlier in the day. BRIAN LAWLESS/PRESS ASSOCIATION/ZUMA PRESS
People vote at the East Hull Boxing Club, which was set up as a polling station in Kingston-Upon-Hull, northern England. Prime Minister Theresa May called the snap election in April. LINDSEY PARNABY/AGENCE FRANCE-PRESSE/GETTY IMAGES
A polling station in St James’ Church, Edinburgh as voters head to the polls across the U.K. to vote. Depending on which opinion polls are correct, the vote could return a strengthened Conservative government, or one whose majority will be similar to the current slim margin of 17 lawmakers. JANE BARLOW/PRESS ASSOCIATION/ZUMA PRESS
A voter arrives with a dog at a polling station in Brighton, Britain. ADAM HOLT/REUTERS
Police officers arrive at a polling station in London on Thursday. Security is tight while voters head to the polls, just days after the U.K. capital was hit by a terrorist attack. LEON NEAL/GETTY IMAGES
Nuns arrive to vote at a polling station in Hyde Park, London. CLODAGH KILCOYNE/REUTERS
Labour Party leader Jeremy Corbyn smiles as he leaves the polling station at Pakeman Primary School in London. Opinion polls have suggested that Mr. Corbyn’s Labour Party has been closing the gap with the Conservative Party during the election campaign. LEON NEAL/GETTY IMAGES
A presiding officer, right, and poll clerk wait for early morning voters at a polling station set up in a laundromat and nail bar in Headington, Oxford. ADRIAN DENNIS/AGENCE FRANCE-PRESSE/GETTY IMAGES
Prime Minister Theresa May and her husband Philip leave a polling station in the village of Sonning, Berkshire, after casting their votes. Despite opinion polls narrowing in recent weeks, Mrs. May is still expected to win the election with an enhanced mandate. STEFAN ROUSSEAU/PRESS ASSOCIATION/ZUMA PRESS
Scottish Conservative leader Ruth Davidson, left, arrives with her partner Jen Wilson and their dog at a polling station at Cafe Comino in Edinburgh. Opinion polls suggest that the Conservatives are on course to become the second largest political party in Scotland. JANE BELLOW/PRESS ASSOCIATION/ZUMA PRESS
Polling stations in the U.K. come in all shapes and sizes. A person stands near a ballot box at a polling station at The White Horse Inn in Priors Dean, Hampshire. ANDREW MATTHEWS/PRESS ASSOCIATION/ZUMA PRESS
Scottish National Party Leader Nicola Sturgeon exits after casting her vote in the general election with her husband Peter Murrel at Broomhouse Community Hall in Glasgow. Ms. Sturgeon has called for a second referendum on Scotland leaving the U.K. JEFF J MITCHELL/GETTY IMAGES
Liberal Democrat leader Tim Farron is pictured at a polling station in Kendal, England. OLI SCARFF/AGENCE FRANCE-PRESSE/GETTY IMAGES
City of London armed police officers leave the St. Bride Institute polling station. The election was disrupted in its final weeks by attacks in Manchester and London. CHRIS RATCLIFFE/BLOOMBERG NEWS

The prime minister acknowledged the uncertain outcome early Friday. “At this time more than anything else, this country needs a period of stability,” Mrs. May told reporters upon winning her own seat. “If the Conservative Party has won the most seats and most votes, it will be incumbent on us to ensure that the country has that period of stability.”

With most races decided, projections put her ruling Conservatives short of the 326 seats needed to win a majority in Britain’s 650-seat Parliament. Early Friday, the British Broadcasting Corporation said it saw the Conservatives winning 318 seats, compared with 330 in the outgoing Parliament. The main opposition Labour Party gained ground to win what some projections put at 267 seats.

The pound sank sharply against the dollar after the exit polls and remained low through the night but the U.K.’s FTSE 100 stock index rose more than 1% in early trading.

Labour leader Jeremy Corbyn called on Mrs. May to resign. “The prime minister called the election because she wanted a mandate and the mandate she got is lost seats…and a lost mandate,” he said. “I would think that that’s enough to go.”

Steven Fielding, professor of political history at the University of Nottingham, said Mrs. May’s future as prime minister was at risk.

“The capital she had with her own party—that’s been spent, that’s all gone,” he said. “If you call an election to reinforce your authority, to reinforce your negotiation hand and you don’t get that endorsement, clearly people are going to ask questions about you.”

Projections early Friday suggested a Labour gain of more than 35 seats. In other surprises, the Scottish Nationalist Party lost more than a dozen seats and the Liberal Democrats appeared to have gained several seats.​

In a major win in London, the Labour Party gained Battersea from the Conservatives, a sign that anti-Brexit sentiment may have hurt the Conservatives in areas where a majority of people voted to stay in the EU. In another significant result, Labour Party held on to Bridgend in Wales, a key Conservative target that Mrs. May visited near the start of the campaign.

The political uncertainty comes as Britain prepares to begin talks on June 19 on extricating itself from the EU after 44 years. The two sides already face a tight timetable to agree on a host of complex issues. Depending on the election’s final results, forming a working government could turn out to be a drawn-out process that would threaten to leave Brexit negotiations on hold.

The prospect of a stable coalition similar to the one formed quickly in 2010 between the Conservatives and the smaller Liberal Democrats seems distant. The Liberal Democrats and the Scottish National Party have ruled out joining a coalition, though leaders have said they would consider a looser alliance.

In the event of a hung parliament in the U.K., the incumbent government gets first shot at crafting an administration. The Conservatives may be able to turn to longtime allies in Northern Ireland to support their policy program.

The result marks a startling gain for Mr. Corbyn, a veteran left-winger. He squeaked onto a Labour Party leadership ballot in 2015 and was expected to come in a distant last in a field of four. Instead, Mr. Corbyn galvanized young backers to win that contest. Support from younger voters during the recent seven-week campaign—and a manifesto that struck a chord with the wider public—helped Labour close a yawning polling gap with the Conservatives, though no poll before the elections put Labour in the lead.

If in the coming days the Conservatives can’t build a majority large enough to govern, Mr. Corbyn may get a chance. He can potentially draw on a broader range of center-left parties to build a looser parliamentary alliance, including the SNP, Liberal Democrats and Greens.

Parliamentary PopularityThe Conservative Party gained ground after Theresa May became prime minister in July,but its lead has shrunk in recent weeks.Party support, 14-day moving averageTHE WALL STREET JOURNALSource: WSJ average of opinion polls from BMG, ComRes, GfK, ICM, Ipsos Mori, Kantar TNS, ORB, Opinium, Panelbase, Survationand YouGov
%ConservativeLabourLib. Dem.UKIPJune ’16Aug.Oct.Dec.Feb. ’17AprilJune01020304050Brexit voteJune 23, 2016Election announcedApril 18, 2017

Either outcome leaves the path to Brexit more unclear.

Mrs. May, who campaigned for the U.K. to remain in the EU before the June referendum mandated its exit, has laid out plans for a clean break with the bloc, including leaving the European single market to gain tighter control of immigration.

Mr. Corbyn’s Labour Party said it would prioritize retaining the benefits of the single market and keeping closer links to the EU, hinting at a softer approach to talks. But with the party’s backers split between young, urban voters and traditional working-class strongholds that favored Brexit, it has struggled to lay out a clear plan on the issue.

Potential partners have conflicting and sometimes irreconcilable objectives. Some, such as the SNP and Liberal Democrats, hope to keep the U.K. in the single market, complicating the two main parties’ plans. Northern Ireland’s Democratic Unionist Party, a potential ally for the Conservatives, would likely demand its region gets special treatment in any Brexit deal as the price of its support.

To the surprise of most observers—and likely to Mrs. May’s detriment—the election campaign wasn’t dominated by Brexit. Voters paid more heed to bread-and-butter issues such as health care and pensions.

It was on one of those issues that Mrs. May appears to have made a damaging judgment, presenting a complex plan to finance elderly care that bombed with graying voters and their likely heirs, who feared they would have to pay more.

The campaign was twice suspended in response to terror attacks, allowing the Labour Party to focus on cuts to police numbers during Mrs. May’s six years as the minister responsible for security. Any new government will face the immediate challenge of overhauling the country’s counterterrorism strategy.

In Mr. Corbyn, Mrs. May and her team encountered a more formidable foe than they had anticipated. His avuncular style and refusal to abandon long-held but unpopular positions contrasted with what many saw as Mrs. May’s robotic campaign appearances and policy reversals.

Maria Caulfield, a Conservative lawmaker in Lewes, said the results would change Parliament. “It’s going to be a tense few days while we find out the results of this election and seeing who is going to be forming the next government,” she said.